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Red56
307913.8
165511.4
153927.4
Blue65
61914.0
108624.6
159913.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245204060801005665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#12
27.40.4
26.727.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1086
#19
24.61.6
21.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3079
#48
13.80.4
13.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
619
#44
14.01.6
12.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1655
#57
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1599
#45
13.41.6
11.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End