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Quarterfinal 4-12009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red64
151019.1
237420.9
247124.6
Blue54
134620.1
294410.9
289820.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67520204060801001206454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#3
24.60.0
24.6→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
2898
#6
20.90.0
21.4→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2374
#27
20.90.0
21.0→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1346
#23
20.10.0
20.7→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1510
#11
19.10.0
19.1→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
2944
#29
10.90.0
11.6→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—