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Red49
214814.4
241110.4
290517.4
Blue40
292216.2
291013.3
294213.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333902060801001201404940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#25
17.43.5
17.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2922
#10
16.23.4
16.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2148
#37
14.41.3
11.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2942
#42
13.30.6
13.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#30
10.41.2
8.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2910
#56
13.32.6
15.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End