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Red42
293016.0
151719.7
292617.6
Blue32
177818.3
255713.4
304913.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404502060801001204232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#15
19.70.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1778
#43
18.30.9
18.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2926
#21
17.64.9
17.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2557
#61
13.40.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2930
#34
16.00.1
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3049
#17
13.31.0
13.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End