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Qual 152009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red54
129420.0
237420.9
292717.9
Blue12
294213.3
49210.5
169610.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533802060801001205412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#27
20.90.2
19.1→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
2942
#42
13.32.3
12.8→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1294
#44
20.00.2
16.5→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.2
1696
#58
10.82.3
12.7→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2927
#9
17.90.2
15.7→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
492
#59
10.52.3
14.4→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—