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Qual 282009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red74
292812.9
36023.4
94818.5
Blue50
177818.3
252213.0
125811.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060807450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
23.41.6
21.5→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
1778
#43
18.30.7
17.7→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
948
#16
18.51.6
17.5→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
2522
#35
13.00.8
12.3→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2928
#62
12.92.0
11.4→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
1258
#64
11.00.9
9.1→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—