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Red36
157012.9
260511.4
297111.8
Blue30
309313.7
290717.8
189910.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383710203050603630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1570
#31
12.90.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
2907
#28
17.80.6
14.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2971
#50
11.80.1
13.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3093
#45
13.70.6
12.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2605
#40
11.40.1
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1899
#52
10.30.6
10.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End