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Qual 42009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red64
307021.4
48824.3
214713.7
Blue40
151719.7
37213.8
290414.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060806440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
24.31.4
21.0→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
1517
#15
19.70.2
17.5→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3070
#1
21.47.3
21.4→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
2904
#24
14.31.9
14.3→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2147
#60
13.71.4
12.6→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
372
#36
13.80.2
12.5→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—