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Red38
131828.3
37213.8
241210.4
Blue76
294213.3
134620.1
255713.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553502040801003876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#13
28.30.9
27.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1346
#23
20.13.2
15.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
372
#36
13.81.2
13.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2557
#61
13.42.4
11.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2412
#63
10.41.2
12.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2942
#42
13.33.2
10.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End