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Qual 432009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red4
294410.9
241110.4
204624.1
Blue62
304913.3
286522.6
307021.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5749204080100462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#18
24.12.9
26.5→23.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
2865
#8
22.60.8
19.7→20.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2944
#29
10.94.3
17.2→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.4
3070
#1
21.41.0
17.9→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2411
#30
10.43.2
12.3→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.9
3049
#17
13.31.0
12.2→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—