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Red84
37213.8
198326.8
292717.9
Blue42
251713.6
297111.8
286522.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58462040801008442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#33
26.81.6
26.027.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
22.60.3
20.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.92.3
17.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2517
#48
13.60.3
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
372
#36
13.82.3
12.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2971
#50
11.80.4
13.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End