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Qual 682009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red62
134620.1
290314.7
290414.3
Blue28
297111.8
294410.9
237420.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41502060806228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1346
#23
20.11.6
19.1→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
2374
#27
20.91.0
22.0→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2903
#32
14.71.6
13.0→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
2971
#50
11.81.7
13.5→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2904
#24
14.31.6
10.4→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
2944
#29
10.91.7
13.3→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—