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Qual 72009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red66
237420.9
251713.6
290717.8
Blue26
214912.9
292812.9
255713.4
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463602060806626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#27
20.91.6
17.4→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
2557
#61
13.40.9
12.9→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2907
#28
17.83.5
17.8→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
2149
#41
12.91.0
12.3→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2517
#48
13.61.6
14.9→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
2928
#62
12.91.3
12.9→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—