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Qual 712009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red75
292617.6
292914.9
292512.4
Blue59
251713.6
214713.7
309313.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34370102030506070807559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#21
17.63.3
14.3→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
3093
#45
13.71.8
11.9→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2929
#51
14.93.3
11.6→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
2147
#60
13.71.1
12.6→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2925
#46
12.43.3
9.0→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
2517
#48
13.61.1
12.5→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—