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Qual 92009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red46
198326.8
292115.1
260511.4
Blue58
294410.9
255512.2
94818.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513502060801004658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#33
26.80.2
23.9→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
948
#16
18.51.6
16.0→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2921
#39
15.12.8
15.1→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
2555
#26
12.21.7
9.0→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2605
#40
11.40.3
12.6→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2944
#29
10.93.4
10.9→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—