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Semifinal 1-12009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red40
131828.3
286522.6
94516.7
Blue76
129420.0
266015.0
128025.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7054204060801001204076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#13
28.30.5
28.4→27.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
1280
#12
25.00.3
24.1→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2865
#8
22.60.5
22.7→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
1294
#44
20.00.5
18.6→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
945
#19
16.70.5
16.8→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
2660
#4
15.00.5
13.8→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—