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Red64
201315.7
107515.1
293516.6
Blue88
236111.6
133420.6
216622.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060806488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#14
16.62.2
11.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
22.33.5
15.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2013
#22Sur
15.72.2
15.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1334
#12
20.63.5
15.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1075
#20
15.12.2
10.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2361
#18Sur
11.63.5
14.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End