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Red76
250525.0
114121.6
107515.1
Blue24
181512.3
155815.1
121914.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6141020801001207624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.5
22.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
15.11.6
14.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.61.5
18.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1219
#25
14.41.6
14.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1075
#20
15.11.5
16.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1815
#17
12.31.6
14.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End