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Red44
130516.5
304016.1
181512.3
Blue58
220013.6
155815.1
160519.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50440204060804458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#24
16.50.4
18.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1605
#21
19.31.0
18.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3040
#23
16.10.4
18.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
15.11.0
13.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1815
#17
12.30.4
12.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2200
#15
13.61.1
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End