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Red32
133420.6
218513.7
29617.2
Blue58
85416.9
216622.3
155815.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060801003258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#12
20.60.5
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
22.31.1
13.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
#11
17.20.4
11.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
854
#13
16.91.1
17.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2185
#26
13.70.5
10.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
15.11.1
13.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End