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Red95
162538.5
102427.8
206222.4
Blue50
173917.3
14116.9
31108.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98390501509550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.2
40.040.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
1739
#28
17.30.2
17.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.80.2
27.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
141
#48
16.90.2
16.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2062
#14
22.40.4
23.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
3110
#53
8.10.3
12.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End