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Red61
294610.2
257421.4
207717.5
Blue67
294013.7
253812.2
70616.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801001201406167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#19
21.41.4
16.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
706
#35
16.82.2
13.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2077
#34
17.51.4
16.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2940
#20
13.71.6
12.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2946
#50
10.21.4
11.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2538
#31
12.22.2
14.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End