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Red34
254716.1
211611.3
250011.6
Blue28
283015.2
253019.5
31108.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39460102030506070803428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2547
#27
16.10.5
14.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2530
#18
19.51.4
17.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2500
#40
11.60.5
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2830
#30
15.21.4
15.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2116
#37
11.30.5
13.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3110
#53
8.11.4
12.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End