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Red54
281713.7
126816.7
233819.6
Blue28
17169.7
294610.2
93016.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563502040801005428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#17
19.60.1
19.919.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
930
#49
16.40.7
17.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1268
#21
16.70.1
18.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2946
#50
10.20.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2817
#41
13.70.1
14.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1716
#51
9.70.8
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End