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Red28
17110.5
281713.7
250011.6
Blue74
173620.5
248121.2
102427.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33740204060801001202874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2817
#41
13.70.8
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
27.80.3
28.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2500
#40
11.60.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
2481
#15
21.20.4
20.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
171
#45
10.50.8
11.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
1736
#10
20.50.4
19.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End