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Red68
146817.9
264819.0
22822.0
Blue10
210414.2
234219.6
26313.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545410203040506070806810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
22.00.7
20.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2342
Unranked
19.62.2
21.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2648
Unranked
19.00.8
17.418.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2104
Unranked
14.22.7
17.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1468
Unranked
17.90.7
16.717.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
263
Unranked
13.22.2
14.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End