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Red79
258917.7
210414.2
13121.8
Blue60
19527.4
105812.8
166016.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060807960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
21.81.5
20.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
195
Unranked
27.40.4
26.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2589
Unranked
17.71.5
15.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1660
Unranked
16.30.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2104
Unranked
14.21.5
12.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1058
Unranked
12.80.4
12.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End