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Red111
56224.1
13121.8
12143.5
Blue20
8821.4
46713.5
26313.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7959204010012014011120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
43.51.7
34.936.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
88
Unranked
21.42.1
26.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
Unranked
24.12.7
25.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
467
Unranked
13.52.1
18.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
131
Unranked
21.81.7
16.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
263
Unranked
13.22.1
18.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End