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Red76
52911.7
151926.6
210414.2
Blue46
258917.7
172111.0
80912.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801007646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
26.61.2
28.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
2589
Unranked
17.70.3
12.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2104
Unranked
14.21.8
15.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
809
Unranked
12.60.2
14.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
529
Unranked
11.71.2
8.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1721
Unranked
11.00.2
16.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End