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Red4
11111.4
30080.8
11243.7
Blue7
28542.3
8762.3
17681.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions560101547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.70.1
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
876
#40
2.30.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
#69
1.40.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2854
#23
2.30.1
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#84
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1768
#52
1.30.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End