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Red8
15403.4
31601.0
3261.7
Blue10
33602.6
30080.8
16222.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101214810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#45
3.40.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1622
#21
2.80.2
2.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#32
1.70.1
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3360
#31
2.60.2
2.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3160
#63
1.00.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3008
#84
0.80.2
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End