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Red8
28542.3
25742.5
15471.8
Blue10
24201.1
12183.7
32562.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions670510152025810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#30
2.50.1
2.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1218
#17
3.70.2
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2854
#23
2.30.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2.60.2
2.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#81
1.80.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2420
#22
1.10.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End