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Red4
13.3
16831.3
19871.7
Blue7
2691.0
12183.7
1551.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#80
3.30.1
3.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1218
#17
3.70.1
3.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#73
1.70.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
155
#61
1.40.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1683
#68
1.30.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
269
#76
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End