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Red3
31571.5
13.3
1081.3
Blue4
16222.8
34031.6
30251.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64028101234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#80
3.30.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1622
#21Sur
2.80.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3157
#60Sur
1.50.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3403
#55
1.60.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
108
#48
1.30.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3025
#83
1.40.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End