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Red11
25742.5
1903.0
255.8
Blue8
9671.7
5400.6
3413.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1340510152025118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#10
5.80.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
341
#50
3.30.2
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
#35
3.00.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
967
#74
1.70.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2574
#30
2.50.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
540
#78
0.60.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End