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Red9
3583.1
12411.9
17302.2
Blue7
27533.7
9671.7
12183.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7805101520253097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#25
3.10.1
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1218
#17
3.70.0
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1730
#11
2.20.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2753
#44
3.70.0
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1241
#41
1.90.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
967
#74
1.70.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End