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Red10
32562.6
411.6
1222.4
Blue10
6043.6
15830.3
1802.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
604
#6
3.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
122
#14
2.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
180
#51
2.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
41
#47
1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1583
#33
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End