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Red4
19185.9
31960.3
17302.2
Blue0
25742.5
15150.8
12411.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions960152040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.90.2
6.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2574
#30
2.50.3
2.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1730
#11
2.20.2
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1241
#41
1.90.3
2.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3196
#66
0.30.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1515
#77
0.80.3
1.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End