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Red3
21281.2
22261.5
4980.5
Blue4
24030.7
25701.0
3593.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
359
#1
3.00.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2128
#30
1.20.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2570
#10
1.00.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
498
#21
0.50.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2403
#39
0.70.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End