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Red1
4990.2
23750.9
14921.1
Blue0
24030.7
31870.3
31330.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2403
#39
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2375
#13
0.90.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3133
#35
0.60.1
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
499
#38
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3187
#42
0.30.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End