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Red3
9800.6
17981.1
24860.4
Blue0
18280.5
10110.8
28500.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1798
#12
1.10.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1011
#20
0.80.2
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
#44
0.60.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1828
#52
0.50.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2486
#50
0.40.2
0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2850
#49
0.40.2
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End