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Red2
12121.7
26470.6
31330.6
Blue4
24390.5
9911.4
28401.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#15
1.70.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
991
#6
1.40.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2647
#40
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2840
#37
1.00.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3133
#35
0.60.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2439
#31
0.50.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End