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Red3
18280.5
17261.5
24490.2
Blue4
3593.0
10110.8
14921.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#29
1.50.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
359
#1
3.00.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1828
#52
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2449
#45
0.20.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1011
#20
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End