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Red0
31700.5
30480.6
28500.4
Blue5
16331.1
28440.6
24030.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101345605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3048
#36
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1633
#17
1.10.3
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3170
#26
0.50.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2403
#39
0.70.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2850
#49
0.40.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2844
#33
0.60.3
0.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End