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Red3
17981.1
28401.0
31870.3
Blue7
32810.8
22261.5
21341.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1798
#12
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1.50.3
1.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2840
#37
1.00.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2134
#22
1.00.4
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#42
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3281
#43
0.80.4
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End