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Red5
7020.6
33090.5
6872.4
Blue4
9801.2
25760.7
24291.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#7
2.40.1
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2429
#37
1.20.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
#22
0.60.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
980
#27
1.20.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3309
#33
0.50.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2576
#48
0.70.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End