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Red2
11601.2
32710.9
5992.5
Blue0
11381.3
7020.6
5971.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3204681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#19
2.50.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1138
#13
1.30.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.20.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
597
#30
1.30.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3271
#18
0.91.3
1.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
702
#22
0.60.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End