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Red8
30211.6
16920.9
26371.9
Blue1
14380.1
11480.8
6960.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102468101281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#11
1.90.4
1.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1148
#15
0.80.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3021
#10
1.60.3
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
696
#41
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1692
#28
0.90.4
0.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1438
#46
0.10.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End