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Red8
17173.5
21740.8
16440.6
Blue7
5992.5
5891.1
5800.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.2
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
599
#19
2.50.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2174
#54
0.80.4
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
589
#20
1.10.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1644
#35
0.60.4
0.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
580
#36
0.60.3
0.00.4
Auto
Teleop
End