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Quarterfinal 4-22010 Colorado Regional
Red1
34030.9
29960.5
22750.9
Blue2
29450.9
13610.4
13320.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3403
#3
0.90.0
1.0→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
2945
#33
0.90.0
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2275
#17
0.90.0
1.0→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
1332
#40
0.60.0
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2996
#32
0.50.0
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
1361
#9
0.40.0
0.4→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—